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Elecosoft reports stellar FY23 results with record recurring revenues and successful M&A

10:54, 23rd April 2024
Paul Hill
PMH Capital
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At last November's Mello investor conference in London, I presented Buildtech software developer Elecosoft (ELCOFollow | ELCO as my best stock idea for the next 2-3 years. I've owned the shares (2nd largest position) since 2015 - and after today's 'in line' 2023 results and positive outlook - have no reason to change this optimistic view.

Indeed, the business generated 5% top line growth (7% LFL) to £28m (£26.6m LY) in 2023, driven by a 17% LFL jump in ARR to £22.6m (£18.2m LY) - which has climbed further to £24.5m in Q1'24 – offset by the ongoing SaaS transition (74% of revenues are recurring vs 56% in 2021) from perpetual licenses.

Additionally, due to strong unit economics (90% gross margins, up 1.4% YoY), adjusted EBITDA and EPS came in 13% and 11% higher at £6.1m (£5.4m LY) and 4.0p/share (3.6p) respectively.

Better still, free cashflow rose to £4.1m (100% of adj EBIT), leaving net funds at a healthy £10.9m as at Dec'23 (or 13p/share) vs £9.4m in Jun'23, whilst equally providing ample firepower to execute synergistic M&A. Capitalised R&D was £2.25m vs £1.8m of amortisation in the period.

This is just the start though. Prior to today's RNS, house broker Cavendish were forecasting turnover, adjusted EBITDA, and EPS to increase to £44.1m (16% CAGR), £9.9m and 7.3p (22% CAGR) by 2026 - which using modest sector multiples of 1x PEG and 4x EV/sales, would deliver a hypothetical valuation range of between 160p to 200p/share. Cavendish’s target price is 160p.

Interestingly too, there is consolidation across the industry. In fact, only last week the Wall Street Journal reported that Schneider Electric and Bentley Systems were in discussions to merge their software businesses. Here, Bentley trades at circa 13x EV/sales vs 2.1x for ELCO, highlighting once again the upside potential (re mean reversion).

Lastly, Elecosoft continues to expand its geographical footprint (eg US and Eastern Europe), add core capability (eg Vertical Digital) and improve its award winning software (eg inclusion of AI).

CEO Jonathan Hunter commenting: "The Company performed extremely well in 2023 and delivered record levels of organic growth, while securing future revenues through the increased levels of subscription licences. We continue to seek acquisitions that augment our customer base, complement our technological arsenal, expand our geographic footprint, and advance our SaaS platform."

Chairman Mark Castle adding: "International markets continue to be robust and we have seen a positive start to the year. As at 31 March 2024, our ARR was £24.5m. Looking forward, the Group is trading in line with 2024 expectations."

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Disclaimer & Declaration of Interest

The information, investment views and recommendations in this article are provided for general information purposes only. Nothing in this article should be construed as a solicitation to buy or sell any financial product relating to any companies under discussion or to engage in or refrain from doing so or engaging in any other transaction. Any opinions or comments are made to the best of the knowledge and belief of the writer but no responsibility is accepted for actions based on such opinions or comments. Vox Markets may receive payment from companies mentioned for enhanced profiling or publication presence. The writer may or may not hold investments in the companies under discussion.

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