Central Asia Metals (CAML LN)#
Central Asia Metals (CAML LN) has announced that it has refinanced and consolidated its corporate debt as of December 2018. The Sasa mine had gross debt of US$67m at the time of the acquisition by CAML in November 2017. As part of the acquisition financing CAML raised US$120m in debt from its offtake partner, Traxys. In order to simplify the outstanding corporate debt CAML has increased the size of the Traxys facility by US$60m to US$151m and repaid the outstanding Sasa debt plus accrued interest.
The Traxys facility carries 4.75% interest plus 1-month US Libor and is to be repaid monthly on a straight-line basis within four years without the previous requirement for cash sweeps. Our current estimates based on prior guidance assume that gross debt would be repaid by the end of 2021 and we forecast year end 2018 gross debt of around US$132m. Given the removal of the cash sweep constraint this likely gives CAML more flexibility over repayments and use of cash which may prompt a less aggressive deleveraging programme particularly since our current forecasts suggest net debt to EBITDA of 0.8x at year end 2018.
The shares have traded within a narrow range over the past three months despite commodity price volatility, however, given the strong free cash flow outlook which is highlighted by the ability to rapidly deleverage whilst continuing to pay a robust dividend the shares remain attractive, in our view. At the current price we anticipate a dividend yield of around 7% in 2018.
We reiterate our Buy recommendation and target price of 309p.