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AssetCo: an undervalued asset manager rising to inflexion point

08:00, 16th October 2023

Like professional sport, asset management is a 'results orientated' game – that is currently polarising between low cost, index hugging trackers at one end vs specialist active fund managers at the other.

AssetCo (ASTOFollow | ASTO (Mrkcap £53.5m at 35p), led by accomplished industry veteran Martin Gilbert (Exec Chair and founder of Aberdeen Asset Mgt) falls squarely into the latter camp.

Indeed at the last count in Mar '23, its wholly owned Assets Under Management (AuM) had climbed to £3.2bn (£13.8bn incl. Parmenion’s £10.6bn) - after completing a series of acquisitions (e.g. River and Mercantile, Saracen, ReVera Capital, SVM Asset Management Limited and Ocean) since being created in Apr '21.

Growth though hasn’t just come via M&A. ASTO has also delivered robust returns with 86% of its active equity funds being rated in either the 1st or 2nd quartiles of their associated benchmarks over the past 3 years.

Elsewhere too, significant progress has been made integrating all these acquisitions under one roof (re £16m pa of savings) with substantial bench-strength now across UK, European, Indian and global equities. This is alongside owning a 30% equity interest in Parmenion, which was acquired in Oct '21 for £20.6m and has been independently valued at circa £75m-£90m, or 50p-60p/share.

Here Parmenion is one of the UK's fastest growing IFA support platforms (H1’23 EBITDA of £9.1m on £20.6m of sales – 70% owned by Preservation Capital), benefiting from high recurring revenues, leading adviser ratings, competitive pricing and proprietary technology. Interestingly over the past year, the company has also received several approaches from potential buyers.

Sure this hard work hasn’t yet been reflected in the beaten-down share price. Albeit equally for canny risk tolerant investors, the undervaluation offers opportunity, especially as AssetCo appears to have reached an inflexion point.

In fact, despite being forecast by Panmure Gordon to be marginally loss making in FY '24 (y/e Sept) - ASTO is on track to become profitable (PBT £3.2m) and cash generative in FY '25 on sales of £18.8m. Plus, augmented by a bullet proof balance sheet (Mar '23 net cash of £20.6m, or 14p/share), the Board has ample firepower to pay a 1.3p dividend (£1.85m), whist similarly executing its 'Buy & Build' and organic growth strategies.

Ok, so putting all this together, how much is ASTO worth?

Well clearly it’s impossible to say precisely due to the rapidly expanding nature of the group. However, as an indication, Panmure Gordon & Singer Capital Markets both have BUY ratings on the stock with Target Prices of 97p and 130p respectively.

Lastly, in addition to Martin Gilbert’s 4.9% holding, other notable shareholders include legendary investor Christopher Mills of Harwood Capital who owns a 13.9% stake. Nevertheless as always, please do your own research.

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Disclaimer & Declaration of Interest

The information, investment views and recommendations in this article are provided for general information purposes only. Nothing in this article should be construed as a solicitation to buy or sell any financial product relating to any companies under discussion or to engage in or refrain from doing so or engaging in any other transaction. Any opinions or comments are made to the best of the knowledge and belief of the writer but no responsibility is accepted for actions based on such opinions or comments. Vox Markets may receive payment from companies mentioned for enhanced profiling or publication presence. The writer may or may not hold investments in the companies under discussion.

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